I must admit that I should have written this piece over a week ago but didn’t. Bitcoin has once again stunned many people with its surprise move a little while ago. I began to wonder if the price had bottomed out. This could only mean one thing, a look at the charts. Many of you may recall that I have mentioned looking at the higher timeframe charts, in this case, the weekly charts with the assistance of some moving averages.
A look at the BTC: USD weekly chart from Bitfinex indicates that there is a high probability that Bitcoin has bottomed. The reason for this is that Bitcoin’s last two weekly prices ranges closed above the 21-weekly EMA (Exponential Moving Average). So far this week has closed above the 21-weekly EMA. As I have said in the past once price closes above the 21-weekly average on two consecutive occasions, then it is most likely that the price will rise. The second condition is for price to stay above the prior low which was $7333.40. If these two conditions are maintained then this means that the buyers and bulls are in control.
We must not fail to mention that the price is also above the 55-weekly moving average. Falling below this average means falling below the previous low. If this happens, then the bears and sellers are in control, which could mean a price fall. Bitcoin volatility comes as no surprise hence, massive price rises and falls. No one can say when and how this will happen but then your guess is as good as mine.
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